These are the events that will happen before 2045.
If we don’t blow ourselves up, if an asteroid doesn’t strike us down, if a virus doesn’t eradicate the human species, or if any other catastrophic event, whether manmade or natural, doesn’t occur, it’s extremely likely that technological progress will not only continue, but accelerate.
What will life be like, in 2045? “Prediction is very difficult, especially, if it’s about the future.” This quote, often attributed to Niels Bohr, captures the essence of our challenge when trying to foresee the events that will happen before this seemingly arbitrary year.
So, what’s so special about 2045? Why not try predicting events in 2050, or 2100?
In a post-AGI world, if humans are still part of it, it will most certainly mean we have solved the AI alignment problem. A machine capable of outmatching any human in intelligence will create the blueprint for the machine that makes the next machine to achieve any of its goals.
Automation will skyrocket, leading to what is called a “post-work society,” where machines perform every mundane and even intellectual task. Any existing job will be performed much better by a machine, potentially leading to widespread unemployment.
Even intellectual tasks will be outstripped by AI. Obviously, such an intelligent AGI will also be used for good, such as solving complex societal problems like disease.
But even if we solve the AI alignment problem, our current political system will need drastic changes to counter the effects of a few companies owning AGI, creating trillions of dollars in wealth while the rest of society is left to starve.
A sort of wealth redistribution system, perhaps even devised by AGI, will need to be enacted to address every job being lost to machines.
But even if this political system problem is solved, some critics argue that this would create a false Utopia, as many of the now 8 billion-plus free of disease tourists who play Frisbie all the time, still find meaning in their work.
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